France vs. Sweden Betting Guide: Odds, Best Bets, DFS Picks and Prediction
EAST RUTHERFORD, N.J. — Third-ranked France enters Tuesday’s FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchup as one of the favorites to lift the trophy, but if the opening day of the knockout stage proved anything, it’s that nothing is guaranteed.
Brazil survived a major scare from Japan. Paraguay stunned Germany in a penalty shootout. Morocco erased a late deficit before knocking out the Netherlands. The margins are razor thin once the knockout rounds begin.
France will still take the field as a heavy favorite against No. 38 Sweden at MetLife Stadium, but Les Bleus know better than to overlook an opponent with a place in the Round of 16 on the line.
Match Information
| Category | Information |
|---|---|
| Match | France vs. Sweden |
| Competition | FIFA World Cup Round of 32 |
| Date | Tuesday, June 30 |
| Kickoff | 5 p.m. ET |
| Venue | MetLife Stadium |
| Location | East Rutherford, New Jersey |
| Capacity | 82,500 |
| TV (U.S.) | FOX |
| Spanish TV | Telemundo |
| Streaming | FOX Sports App, FOX One, Fubo, Peacock (Spanish) |
| Radio | SiriusXM FC |
| Weather | Partly cloudy with temperatures around 80 degrees at kickoff, light southwest winds and ideal playing conditions. |
Betting Odds
| Market | Odds |
| France | -390 |
| Draw (90 minutes) | +500 |
| Sweden | +1000 |
| France -1.5 | -135 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | -205 |
| Both Teams to Score — Yes | +115 |
France is one of the biggest favorites of the Round of 32, reflecting its dominant group-stage performance and overwhelming depth across the pitch.
Team Comparison
| Category | France | Sweden |
| Official FIFA Ranking | No. 3 | No. 38 |
| FotMob Team Rating | 7.48 | 6.95 |
| Group Finish | 1st (Group I) | Best Third-Place Qualifier |
| Group Stage Points | 9 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Allowed | 2 | 7 |
France was one of only a handful of nations to finish the group stage with a perfect nine points, while Sweden battled through a difficult group to earn one of the final knockout berths.
World Cup Futures
| Team | Odds to Win World Cup |
| France | +400 |
| Sweden | +15000 |
Only a select few nations carry shorter championship odds than France entering the Round of 32.
DFS Targets
Elite Captain
Kylian Mbappé (France)
The safest fantasy option on Tuesday’s slate.
Mbappé remains among the favorites to win the Golden Boot and is capable of producing multiple goal contributions in any match.
Premium Play
Ousmane Dembélé (France)
Fresh off a sensational group stage, Dembélé’s pace and creativity make him one of the highest-upside DFS plays available.
Mid-Tier Value
Alexander Isak (Sweden)
Sweden’s best chance of producing an upset likely begins with Isak. He remains the country’s most dangerous attacking threat and should see opportunities on the counterattack.
Salary Saver
Dejan Kulusevski (Sweden)
Kulusevski’s creativity gives him value even in a difficult matchup. He handles much of Sweden’s playmaking responsibility and could provide assists or key passes if the underdogs break through.
Goalkeeper
Mike Maignan (France)
France has conceded just two goals through three group matches and enters as one of the strongest clean-sheet candidates of the day.
Best Bets
France -1.5
France has consistently overwhelmed opponents with its speed, depth and finishing ability. If Les Bleus play to their standard, winning by multiple goals is well within reach.
Kylian Mbappé Anytime Goalscorer
Whenever France scores, Mbappé is usually involved.
Over 2.5 Goals
France averages more than three goals per match in the tournament, while Sweden has enough attacking talent through Isak and Viktor Gyökeres to contribute if the match opens up.
France to Advance
This may not offer much value, but it remains one of the safest plays on Tuesday’s board.
How the Matchup Stacks Up
France possesses advantages nearly everywhere.
Mbappé remains one of the fastest players in world football. Ousmane Dembélé has been in sensational form. Aurélien Tchouaméni controls the midfield, while William Saliba anchors one of the tournament’s stingiest defenses.
Sweden deserves plenty of respect for reaching the knockout stage and has enough attacking quality to make life uncomfortable through Isak, Gyökeres and Kulusevski.
If this matchup were played on ice instead of grass, Sweden’s chances would probably improve considerably. Hockey has long been one of the country’s proudest sporting traditions.
On a soccer pitch, however, France owns the edge.
Even so, Monday served as a reminder that favorites are far from invincible. Morocco shocked the Netherlands. Paraguay knocked out Germany. Brazil needed late heroics to escape Japan.
This World Cup has become a tournament where the unexpected feels routine.
Prediction
France 3, Sweden 1
France should cruise on paper, but the knockout stage rarely follows the script.
Sweden is organized, disciplined and capable of creating problems in transition, but France simply has too much quality across every line. Expect Mbappé to produce another signature moment, while Dembélé continues his outstanding tournament with another goal contribution.
Les Bleus advance, but not before Sweden reminds everyone why no knockout match should ever be taken for granted.
Best Bet: France -1.5
Best Prop: Kylian Mbappé Anytime Goalscorer
Correct Score: France 3, Sweden 1
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