With NFL Honors set for tonight at 9 p.m., prediction markets continue to paint a clear picture of how voters are expected to land. Odds from Kalshi show dominant favorites across nearly every major award, with only marginal intrigue remaining in a few categories. Below is a category-by-category breakdown based on current market percentages.
Coach of the Year
- Mike Vrabel: 88%
- Mike Macdonald: 6%
Vrabel remains firmly in control of this race, with the market showing little belief in a late surge from the field.
Offensive Player of the Year
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 87%
- Bijan Robinson: 7%
Smith-Njigba continues to lead comfortably, though this market shows slightly more dispersion than others.
Defensive Rookie of the Year
- Carson Schwesinger: 93%
- Nick Emmanwori: 9%
Schwesinger holds a commanding edge, making him one of the clearer favorites on the board.
Comeback Player of the Year
- Christian McCaffrey: 96%
- Trevor Lawrence: 4%
McCaffrey is one of the most decisive favorites across all NFL Honors categories.
Most Valuable Player
- Matthew Stafford: 91%
- Drake Maye: 10%
Stafford remains the overwhelming MVP favorite, with Maye the only challenger drawing notable market support.
Offensive Rookie of the Year
- Tetairoa McMillan: 89%
- Tyler Shough: 12%
While McMillan still leads comfortably, this is one of the few markets showing a measurable secondary option.
Defensive Player of the Year
- Myles Garrett: 99%
- Devin Lloyd: 1%
Garrett stands as the strongest favorite of any award, with the market pricing this outcome as virtually certain.
Bottom line: Kalshi’s percentages suggest NFL Honors will be largely about confirmation rather than surprise, with dominant frontrunners holding firm across nearly every major award heading into tonight’s ceremony.
