Jacksonville, Fl. — This matchup has shootout written all over it. The Bills and Jaguars enter Wild Card Weekend with explosive offenses, confident quarterback play, and betting lines that suggest points will come in bunches. Both teams are red-hot down the stretch — Buffalo has won five of its last six games, while Jacksonville rides an eight-game winning streak into the postseason.
Buffalo brings postseason experience and star power. Jacksonville counters with balance, efficiency, and the advantage of playing at home. In a game featuring this much offensive firepower, one mistake — or one spectacular play — could be the difference.
Betting Lines (ESPN)
- Spread: Bills -1.5
- Moneyline: Bills -112 | Jaguars -108
- Over/Under: 51.5
Resume Check
The Bills finished the regular season at 12–5, closing the year strong by winning five of their final six games. When Buffalo plays clean football, few teams in the league can match its ceiling. Experience is a major factor here as well — this marks the Bills’ seventh consecutive postseason appearance, and they’re no strangers to high-pressure January games.
Jacksonville’s 13–4 record earned them the right to host and reflects a team that has quietly assembled one of the AFC’s most complete rosters. The Jaguars enter the playoffs riding an eight-game winning streak and playing their best football of the season. With balance on both sides of the ball and consistent execution, Jacksonville presents a difficult matchup for any opponent.
Players to Watch
Bills:
Josh Allen and James Cook form one of the league’s most dangerous quarterback–running back duos. Their ability to generate explosive plays will be critical against a Jacksonville defense that continues to improve. Defensively, Buffalo will need key contributors to step up — whether it’s Cole Bishop or Jordan Poyer in the secondary, or Greg Rousseau applying pressure up front.
Jaguars:
Trevor Lawrence may be playing the best football of his career. Over his last seven games, he’s accounted for 22 total touchdowns and appears to be fully settling into the elite quarterback tier expected of a former No. 1 overall pick. Jacksonville’s offense is well-balanced, led by Travis Etienne in the backfield and a dynamic receiving group featuring Parker Washington and Brian Thomas Jr. Defensively, playmakers like Foyesade Oluokun, Josh Hines-Allen, and Arik Armstead give the Jaguars the ability to disrupt drives. Keep an eye on kicker Cam Little, whose leg has been a major weapon late in halves all season.
How Each Team Wins
Bills win if:
- Allen and Cook consistently generate explosive plays
- Turnovers are limited
- Red-zone opportunities turn into touchdowns
Jaguars win if:
- They control tempo and time of possession
- Force Buffalo into uncomfortable third-down situations
- Win the red-zone efficiency battle
Prediction
Expect an offensive shootout between two legitimate contenders. Both quarterbacks should shine, and this game feels destined to be decided in the final moments. In a four-quarter battle, the team with the ball last may ultimately decide the outcome.
Jaguars 34, Bills 31
Jacksonville earns its first playoff victory in three years and advances to the divisional round, where they would most likely face the young New England Patriots led by MVP candidate Drake Maye.
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