Don’t Sleep On Cupcake Week: A Sickos Guide for College Football in Week 13

ATLANTA — Grab your elastic-waist pants and set your DVRs — we’re officially rolling into “Cupcake Week,” the ironic prelude to the real chaos of rivalry week that follows Thanksgiving. Saturday, brings Week 13 of the college football season, when Power 5 teams pad their stats, transfer-portal hopefuls audition, and bowl dreams begin to stretch their legs like a runner waiting for the gun. It’s the calm before the storm, but don’t get too comfortable: this calm carries an edge sharper than your uncle’s carving knife on turkey day.

Let’s stroll through the matchups, the storylines, the data and the little quirks you’ll indulge over your stuffing and gravy. Think of this as your seasoned football journo’s guide to what matters this week, with a splash of sarcasm, a wink to the culture and a nod to the true folks playing for more than leftovers.


USC Trojans at Oregon Ducks — College GameDay returns to Eugene

The headline act: the Ducks host Lincoln Riley’s dream machine, USC, in Autzen Stadium, and yes, ESPN’s College GameDay will be there for the second time this season. The Ducks are 10–1 with their lone defeat at home to Indiana, while the Trojans carry two road losses into their Big Ten wanderings. This old Pac-12 rivalry renewed under the haze of a super-conference now carries playoff implications.

Oregon’s defense ranks roughly 6th nationally in points allowed — about 13.7 per game according to recent coverage — which means the Ducks aren’t just flashy, they’re gritty. Meanwhile, USC must prove it can win on the road in hostile territory again, or its playoff hopes unravel faster than last year’s leftovers. The data say this is less about “who’s better” and more about “who wants it more.”

Expect hard hits, elite tempo and maybe a late pick-six that sets social-media ablaze.


Missouri Tigers at Oklahoma Sooners

In Norman, Oklahoma hosts Missouri in a Big 12-ish affair with bowl and title implications. Odds show Oklahoma favored by about 7.5 at home. Oklahoma’s defense against the run is among the best in the nation, allowing around 2.3 yards per carry — a number that will keep Ahmad Hardy and this Tigers ground-attack quietly sweating. Missouri, meanwhile, ranks high in run-play rate and yards on the ground, but when you run into a defense that eats those yards for breakfast, you have to ask: where’s the Plan B?

The Sooners just went into Tuscaloosa and beat Alabama. Next up? Eli Drinkwitz and his coaching carousel rumors, plus the Missouri Tigers.

If you’re a fan of under-dog grit, Missouri’s your tea. If you’re into title-hoping machine logic, Oklahoma might just be the steady hand. Either way, the fresh gerbil cage of marquee showdowns is ready.


Pittsburgh Panthers at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Atlanta becomes the focal point later this week as the Jackets host Pitt in a game that whispers “ACC title implications” and “playoff hopes” in the same breath. Georgia Tech might not seem sexy, but if you’ve followed their tape you’ve seen the linebacker hits, the clever motion-scheme offense and the kind of toughness that historically wins leagues. Pitt’s not buying popcorn; they’re entering prepared for war.

These two teams aren’t just playing for today — they’re playing for legacy, job security, coaching stock and the kind of momentum that can carry into December and beyond.


Tennessee Volunteers at Florida Gators

Old rivals, tougher expectations. Florida enters home at the Swamp against Tennessee. The Gators’ record may not gleam, but Vegas has the Vols favored by just four points — a low number given the context. Tennessee hasn’t won at Florida since 2003. Rivalry game, stadium full of noise, history dripping from every angle. If “Friday Night Lights” met “Mean Girls” in a mash-up film, this would be it.

For Florida, this is about talent finally showing up on game-day. For Tennessee, it’s about converting rival-week hope into execution. One slip here and this game becomes less warm-up and more “remember when.”


Florida State Seminoles at NC State Wolfpack

Cue the Friday night lights: the ‘Noles travel to Raleigh in a matchup between two 5–5 squads. The winner likely clinches bowl eligibility. The loser likely watches their coach update his LinkedIn profile. This game might not headline “The Playoff,” but it carries pressure that would make a new-movie protagonist break out in cold sweats.

Expect offense, big plays, mistakes and redemption arcs. Saturday might have more polish; Friday has raw emotion.


Hawai‘i Rainbow Warriors at UNLV Rebels

Late game, late night (10:30 p.m. ET), two Mountain West teams still chasing conference-championship visions. Hawai‘i’s travelled long; UNLV sets up home. The formula: if Hawai‘i wants to keep alive any hope of climbing their conference ladder, they’ll need discipline, turnovers and special-teams magic. UNLV? They’re at home. Slight favourite in the chaos.

These aren’t Cupcakes. They are late-night gems that remind you: not all the best stories happen in December.


Louisville Cardinals at SMU Mustangs

An ACC showdown with both teams at 3-loss territory. SMU is 5–1 in conference play and still chasing that dream. Louisville hopes to yank their season off the back shelf and give it some shine. The Mustangs host needing a win to keep their lean toward the title game alive; The Cardinals need one to avoid reflection-season forever.

If you like chaos wrapped in possibility, this is your dinner special.


Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers

Yes, it’s Alabama vs. an FCS team (3-8 record for Eastern Illinois). Yes, many eyeballs will wander. But the Tide need this. After a rough loss to Oklahoma and with a grudge match looming at Auburn next week in Jordan-Hare, this is “get right” week in Tuscaloosa. If Alabama cannot fix the run game, restore confidence and rediscover why the Crimson Tide rolls, then perhaps the home freak-out footage is already written.

It’s schlock, but it matters.

Alabama has to get its offense humming again on Saturday, if it wants to get to the playoff.


Auburn Tigers vs. Mercer Bears

Auburn hosts Mercer. You laugh. You scoff. But freshman QB Deuce Knight may get the nod, or Auburn burns Ashton Daniels’ redshirt. Which is to say: this could be the most interesting mundane game of the day. Tigers looking ahead to rivalry week. Bears looking to finish a dream season. Someone might flatline emotionally in this one.

Keep one eye on the Plains. Auburn always makes things interesting, right? Remember, the Tigers dropped their cupcake game against New Mexico State and Diego Pavia in 2023, before giving Alabama all it could handle in a home Iron Bowl.

Jordan-Hare has our attention against Mercer.


Kennesaw State Owls vs. Missouri State Bears

In the Group of Five world, this one deserves love. Kennesaw State (in its second FBS year with seven wins) hosts a solid Missouri State squad, both circling late-season conference title possibilities if WKU stumbles. The Owls are the storybook rising team — Cinderella with cleats — and they deserve applause beyond the midnight highlight reels.

If you’re a football sicko want to attend two FBS games in one day, the Owls play at 2 p.m. in Fifth Third Stadium, while Georgia Tech hosts Pitt at 7 p.m. in Bobby Dodd. It’s affordable and certainly doable.


Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Kentucky Wildcats

In Nashville, Vanderbilt hosts Kentucky. The Commodores have suddenly caught a spark; Kentucky scrambles for bowl eligibility. Families might prefer football’s board-game simplicity, but this matchup delivers mini-drama, slippery surfaces and just enough narrative to keep you off your phone until the fourth quarter.

Diego Pavia still has a longshot path to the Heisman, with games against Kentucky and Tennessee still on the schedule. Pavia spent the bye week partying like his mentor Johnny Football, because why not?

The ‘Dores must win pretty to leapfrog their way into the playoff, but it is possible. Meanwhile, Kentucky is scorching-hot, hoping to earn a surprise bowl berth.


Texas Longhorns vs. Arkansas Razorbacks

Texas hosts a 2-8 Arkansas team which — and you probably have heard this a hundred times this season — can score at will. The Razorbacks keep coming up short, but the analytics say they’re due. Texas, after a rough loss at Georgia, might just be looking ahead to A&M. That’s dangerous behavior.

This is the kind of game where the underdog might break your heart for the right reasons.


Duke Blue Devils at North Carolina Tar Heels

Duke plays UNC on the gridiron. Yes, the basketball rivalry-turned-football-side-quest is alive. Each team fights for bowl eligibility. It may not headline the national networks, but in the college-football ecosystem, these are the bones, the roots, the comfortable-chaos games that build identity.

Oh, and the coaching clash is pretty fun, too. Manny Diaz vs. Bill Belichick. Oh, to go back to 2019.


Stanford Cardinal vs. California Golden Bears

Record-wise this might look like Tuesday-morning coffee. But old rivalry matters, even in down years. The farm fields of Pac-12 memory dig deep; hope springs eternal. Watch for freshman plays, weird offensive wrinkles and maybe a retread quarterback looking to finish strong.

You’ve seen the infamous band on the field play and the Marshawn Lynch clips on YouTube. For rivalry sake, you might as well tune in.


LSU Tigers vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

On the Bayou, LSU could get upset by a Western Kentucky team that doesn’t lose often. If the Tigers cannot score, this game reminds every big-time program: your schedule doesn’t forgive bad offensive days. WKU hates being overlooked.

Let’s get weird.


BYU Cougars at Cincinnati Bearcats

Halfway across the country, BYU travels to Cincinnati for a night game with major Big 12 title game implications. It’s exotic — the cross-country trek, the night lights, the official arrival of “serious chase” mode. The winners here might sleep a little easier on Sunday.

Big Noon Kickoff will be in the Queen City, gorging on Skyline Chili and Graeter’s Ice Cream.

Cincy, you have one final chance to back up the wins to your name.


Jacksonville State Gamecocks at FIU Panthers

Yes, the Conference USA leaderboard still has movement. Jax State leads after beating neighbor Kennesaw State, but on the road at FIU as just a 2-point favorite? That’s vulnerability. Group of Five fans: this is your chessboard.

Vegas might be on to something here.


The FCS and Ivy League Stakes

Oh, and we do have one more treat for our diehards that already watched MACtion with us on Tuesday and Wednesday. You know who you are. You’re the fan that will be watching Arkansas State and Louisiana duke it out on Thursday, while the Bills battle the Texans on Amazon Prime.

On the FCS side of the slate, 11-0 Montana hosts 9-2 Montana State. Both teams are 7-0 in the Big Sky and have plenty to play for, entering this in-state rivalry game.

Meanwhile, Harvard takes its 9-0 record and storybook season to New Haven, where 7-2 Yale awaits. The Crimson are 6-0 in the Ivy League, while the Bulldogs are 5-1.

A storied rivalry, dating back to the Reconstruction Era, takes place in the Yale Bowl. These two hated rivals first clashed in 1875 and will do battle again on Saturday, on cable television (ESPNU).

Why This Week Matters

This isn’t just “Cupcake Week.” It’s resume-week, narrative-week, decision-week. Heisman hopefuls pad stats before season-ending theater. Coaches under contract-pressure act like they’re auditioning for streaming series. Transfer-portal kids build highlight reels not just for December, but for next spring’s whirlwind.

And the rivalries still loom large. Old conference loyalties reborn. New super-conference alliances beaten into shape. Everyone’s aiming to make next week’s matchups more than just Tuesday’s leftovers.

Your analytics screens may glow with SP+ rankings, efficiency margins, opponent-adjusted stats — fine. But let’s throw in old-school observations, too: look at Oregon’s defense that doesn’t just bend, it breaks drive after drive. Watch how Missouri’s offensive line still leans on the run even when the pass is needed. See how Tennessee might sneak past Florida because half the Gators’ roster still thinks they’re rebuilding.

This week has depth. The question isn’t whether these games matter — it’s whether you care to look past the highlight-bait and into the trenches, the subplots, the “well-that’s weird” moments that become legend.


Final Thoughts

“Life moves pretty fast,” Ferris Bueller once said. (Yes, we’re pulling quotes now.) And college football? It moves faster than Ferris’ skip-the-history-class day. Week 13 might feel like a breather, but the clock’s ticking. The next storm—rivalry week—will show whether these teams are built to endure or built to be interrupted by surprises.

For fans, this is the fun stretch: pre-feast jitters, matchups that matter, and enough storylines to keep you at the snack table just a little bit longer. For coaches and players, this is the last chance to tune the engine before next week’s gauntlet.

So pour the cider, pass the pie, and don’t leave the game early. These are the moments you’ll talk about next spring, when the playoff brackets have been set and the portal whispers become roars. In the end, Week 13 is less about “who wins today” and more about “who still has something left to prove.”

Keep your eyes open. The under-dog’s howl echoes loudest in the week before chaos. If you miss it? Well, you’ll just rewind the highlights next Thanksgiving and say: “I was there when…”

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College Football Viewing Guide, Week 13

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Jackson Fryburger