Sunday’s collapse against the Texans was yet another sign that the quarterback hasn’t made the leap Jacksonville needs—despite the massive contract, a new regime, and five years in the league
Trevor Lawrence was supposed to change everything in Jacksonville. The No. 1 overall pick. A generational prospect. The face of a franchise desperate for relevance. Now, five seasons in—and less than a year into a $275 million extension—it’s time to stop waiting. It’s time to start questioning whether Lawrence is still the answer or just another expensive mistake the Jaguars can’t afford.
Sunday’s disaster in Houston was more than a blown lead. It was an indictment. Jacksonville led 29–10 going into the fourth quarter. What followed was a meltdown, led by a quarterback who completely vanished. The Jaguars ran three offensive drives in the fourth. Two were three-and-outs. Lawrence didn’t complete a single pass across all three. The final drive ended with him fumbling—gift-wrapping the game to the Texans on a defensive touchdown. Houston scored 26 straight points to win, 36–29.
This is not Year 2. This is not a rookie feeling things out. This is Year 5. Lawrence is not only supposed to be past growing pains—he’s supposed to be carrying the franchise. Instead, when pressure hits, he too often folds.
And that’s not just a bad quarter. That’s a pattern. The numbers show it, the film shows it, and the scoreboard is starting to make it impossible to ignore.
Lawrence’s production has plateaued. He’s still making the same mistakes—poor decision-making, turnover issues, inconsistent reads—without the consistent big plays to offset them. His QBR remains stuck in the bottom third of the league. Too many games feel like missed opportunities, and too many drives end with confusion or giveaways. The same issues that plagued him in 2021 are still showing up in 2025.
Yes, the offensive line has struggled. Yes, the receiver group has been banged up. But at some point, a true franchise quarterback finds ways to rise above. Lawrence hasn’t. He’s been paid like one of the NFL’s elite. He’s been treated like the future. But his performances don’t justify the investment—or the faith.
And now, it’s not just fans or media watching. First-year head coach Liam Coen and new GM James Gladstone inherited Lawrence. They didn’t draft him. They didn’t hand him that $275 million deal. But they are the ones who will have to decide if he’s the guy to build around—or the guy to move on from. If Lawrence keeps trending sideways, they may not wait long to make that call.
This roster isn’t in rebuild mode. The defense is strong. The team has invested in skill positions. The front office has tried to give Lawrence what he needs to succeed. And yet, here we are. Still waiting. Still hoping he turns the corner. Still watching him shrink in the biggest moments.
It’s not enough. Not for a player with this many starts. Not for a player making this much money. And not for a team that’s tried to be patient—only to see the same movie play on repeat.
Lawrence doesn’t just need to improve. He needs to prove he belongs in the role he’s been gifted. If he can’t lead this team through adversity, if he can’t close games, if he can’t stop hurting the Jaguars in critical spots—then maybe it’s time to admit the obvious.
Maybe Trevor Lawrence isn’t the future in Jacksonville. Maybe he’s already proven that.
And if he doesn’t start changing the narrative soon, Liam Coen and James Gladstone will have no choice but to write a new one—without him.
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