TORONTO — The mood in this city is electric, crackling with playoff promise and the kind of October magic that baseball writers have dreamed about for decades. With the Toronto Blue Jays leading the Los Angeles Dodgers three games to two in the 2025 World Series, the spotlight now turns to the MVP market. Who will grab the hardware if this thing ends in Canada? Or, for the Dodgers faithful still clinging to hope, which under-dog might pull off a script-flip worthy of Hollywood?
As Game 6 looms, the single‐biggest bet of this Fall Classic lies on the neck of one man: Vladimir Guerrero Jr.. At –195, he is the favourite on the futures market to earn World Series MVP honours. Turn that into ticker-tape parlance: wager $195 and you stand to win an additional $100 if he seals the award. According to recent listings, that –195 figure is the most concrete we have from the major sportsbooks.
Trailing him is Shohei Ohtani at +250—so a $100 bet will spark $250 in raw profit if the Dodgers’ two-way phenom performs a late-series miracle. Beyond those two, the value jumps: names priced at +1300 and higher beckon for bettors hunting long-shots. Among them, if you believe the Dodgers mount a comeback and force Game 7, consider the further angles.
Take Yoshinobu Yamamoto, the Dodgers’ big-name starter whose odds sit around +1300 in some books. If you’re buying into LA winning the next two games and Yamamoto delivering in a must-win outing, you’re chasing 13-to-1 value. Or you might sprinkle on Freddie Freeman at +17,500—yes, that’s a serious long-shot—but thinking deep: last year he was crushing it in the World Series; this year he already walked off Game 3 Tuesday. A tiny wager there could pay massive dividends if LA defies the narrative. Another interesting value play: Addison Barger (Toronto) listed at +2700—think of him as the sneaky baby blue ticket: more modest amount, solid return if the Blue Jays close it out and he has a breakout moment.
Let’s talk context and history: Looking back at recent World Series MVP winners — over the past five years you’ve got legends, timely performances, the whole package. The award often goes to a player whose brilliance is backed by victory. So the smartest play remains: if Toronto wins Game 6, you’re likely locking Vlad in. Based on his ALCS MVP right under his belt, stellar performance thus far, and the fact he’s been the most consistent bat in this series, he’s the logical default. If however Game 7 beckons, the narrative opens: it becomes a “who shows up?” dance, and those +1300 and longer shots shine brighter.
Here’s the bet style breakdown:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (-195): If you believe with conviction the Jays close it out in Game 6 on home turf, this is your main line. He combines narrative (Canadian hero), momentum (postseason form) and home-field advantage.
- Shohei Ohtani (+250): Big talent, big moments, but the Dodgers are behind; if he flips into beast mode and LA rallies, this could pay.
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto (+1300): Speculative but intriguing — pitching heroics in Game 6 or Game 7 could vault him into MVP talk, if LA staves off elimination.
- Freddie Freeman (+17,500): Pure fringe play. A ten-dollar bet nets $1,750 profit. Low probability but high payoff: do it for fun.
- Addison Barger (+2,700): Middle-range bump. If Toronto wins and Barger pops in a clutch moment (maybe a homer or sparkling defense), you’ve hit value.
And here’s the kicker: the market reflects two clear scenarios. One — Toronto wins in six, and the MVP award almost certainly goes to Guerrero. Two — the series stretches to seven, the theatre magnifies, and a different hero emerges. If you believe in the latter, long-shots light up; if you believe in the former, you take the favourite and sleep well.
For fans of this kind of betting theatre, it’s a golden moment. The Jays have become a sentimental favourite across North America — their first title chase in decades, the Canada-US crossover story, the unexpected breakout of young stars — all while battling baseball’s so-called “empire” in the Dodgers. The odds board is simply reflecting the narrative arc.
So if you’re logging into your account tonight, pick your lane: do you ride the inevitability of Toronto and Guerrero, or do you gamble on the reply-all email from Hollywood that the Dodgers pull off a cardio comeback? Either way, this market is offering something for every appetite: calculated favourite or giant payoff dream. Just remember: odds are one thing, outcome another. May your bet slip get checked the right way.
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