US OPEN 2025: Picks To Win At Oakmont

The US Open is the most challenging test in golf. Each year, the best players in the world compete not only against each other, but against the course as well. Oakmont is often called the most difficult course in the world, and players have struggled in previous Opens played there. US Open favorites are chosen based on recent results, how their skills match with the course, and how well they handle the unique pressures of major tournaments. These factors often separate those likely to compete for the title from the rest of the field. Here's more information on how to watch. The US Open is known for difficult setups, with thick rough, fast greens, and narrow fairways. Players who succeed at courses with these features are more likely to be seen as favorites. Oakmont , the 2025 host, is no different. Golfers who drive straight and have a strong short game have an advantage. Winning or contending in past majors gives players an edge at the US Open. The pressure is different from other tournaments, with higher stakes and tougher fields. Those who have handled these settings without letting nerves affect them are more likely to compete at the top. Based on those factors, here are ten potential winners of the 2025 US Open. Jun 9, 2025; Oakmont, Pennsylvania, USA; Scottie Sheffler hits out of the rough on hole twelve during a practice round for the U.S. Open golf tournament at Oakmont Country Club. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-Imagn Images 1) Scottie Scheffler Scottie Scheffler comes into the 2025 US Open as the betting favorite. He is ranked No. 1 in the world and has shown steady form all season. In 2025, Scheffler has already won big events, including the PGA Championship and the Memorial. He has three wins in his last four tournaments, showing consistency and skill on tough courses. Although Scheffler has not won a US Open yet, he finished tied for second in 2022. This proves that he can handle the pressure of major championships. Many expect him to be in contention at Oakmont. His strong ball striking and calm attitude make him a top pick for this year’s tournament. Scheffler’s recent results show that he is a serious threat to win his first US Open title and come closer to the career Grand Slam. Jun 9, 2025; Oakmont, Pennsylvania, USA; Bryson DeChambeau putts on the practice green during a practice round for the U.S. Open golf tournament at Oakmont Country Club. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-Imagn Images 2) Bryson DeChambeau Bryson DeChambeau remains one of the top picks for the 2025 US Open. He is known for his powerful drives and analytical approach to the game. DeChambeau’s unique style has helped him stand out among competitors. He won the US Open in 2020 and again at Pinehurst in 2024. These recent victories highlight his ability to perform under pressure. The difficult US Open course setups suit his strengths well. DeChambeau has posted four top-10 finishes in his last six US Open starts. His consistency at this tournament makes him a reliable choice among the favorites. Golf analysts often mention him as a strong contender each year. With his strong track record on challenging courses, many expect DeChambeau to be in serious contention at Oakmont. His preparation and focus on details may give him an edge against tough competition. Apr 13, 2025; Augusta, Georgia, USA; Scottie Scheffler presents Rory McIlroy with the green jacket after winning the Masters Tournament at Augusta National Golf Club. Mandatory Credit: Michael Madrid-Imagn Images 3) Rory McIlroy Rory McIlroy remains one of the top picks to win the 2025 US Open. His recent win at the Masters moved him closer to a career Grand Slam and boosted his odds for success at Oakmont. He has shown strong form this season, although his results at the PGA Championship were not as high as some expected. Still, his performance at big tournaments keeps him among the favorites. Rory has experience competing under pressure and has already won multiple majors. He will look to bounce back after last year’s tough finish at the US Open, where he lost his lead late in the final round. With his driving ability and improved putting, McIlroy has the tools needed for Oakmont’s difficult setup. Fans and analysts will keep a close watch on how he approaches this year's challenge. May 18, 2025; Charlotte, North Carolina, USA; Jon Rahm tees off on the 15th hole during the final round of the PGA Championship golf tournament at Quail Hollow. Mandatory Credit: Aaron Doster-Imagn Images 4) Jon Rahm Jon Rahm’s strong record in majors stands out. He won the US Open in 2021 and often finishes near the top in big events. His recent results also show steady play, with several top-10 finishes in his last tournaments. Rahm is known for his powerful drives and steady short game. These skills are important at Oakmont, where accuracy and control matter. He has played the course before and gained valuable experience there. Many believe his balanced play and past success make him a clear favorite. Rahm has the talent, experience, and recent form to challenge for the title again this year. Xander Schauffele tees off on 18 during the Workday Golden Bear Pro-Am at Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio on May 28, 2025. 5) Xander Schauffele Xander Schauffele is seen as a strong contender for the 2025 US Open. His performance at recent majors has kept him near the top of the odds lists. He is currently listed around +1100 to win, showing confidence from the betting market. Schauffele's game has been consistent, and he brings a calm, steady approach to big events. In 2024, he won The Open, which boosted his reputation as a player who can handle pressure. This major win showed that he can finish strong on the biggest stages. Over his last ten appearances, he has recorded a top-10 finish, further proving his competitiveness. Xander has often played well in US Opens, with past finishes showing his ability to navigate tough courses. His strengths include accuracy off the tee and strong putting under pressure. Fans and experts see him as one of the top names to watch in 2025, especially with his recent win and steady play throughout the season. Apr 10, 2025; Augusta, Georgia, USA; Sam Burns putts on the second green during the first round of the Masters Tournament. Mandatory Credit: Peter Casey-Imagn Images 6) Sam Burns Sam Burns comes into the 2025 US Open as a player to watch. Known for his steady play and strong performance under pressure, Burns has shown he belongs among golf’s top names. Recently, Burns finished solo second at the 2025 RBC Canadian Open. He lost to Ryan Fox, but coming close to the win boosted his confidence going into the US Open. He is offered odds of +8,000 to win the 2025 US Open. These odds suggest he is not the top favorite, but he has a real shot based on recent form. Burns’s strength comes from his solid ball-striking and sharp putting. If he keeps his focus on the greens and handles Oakmont’s challenging course, he could compete deep into the event. Burns' experience in major tournaments continues to grow, making him a reasonable pick for those looking for value in the field. May 17, 2025; Charlotte, North Carolina, USA; Viktor Hovland on the fifth hole during the third round of the PGA Championship golf tournament at Quail Hollow. Mandatory Credit: Jim Dedmon-Imagn Images 7) Viktor Hovland Hovland has already collected a win and several top-25 finishes in the 2025 season. This shows that he remains competitive among top golfers. While some say this year has felt quieter for him, his talent is clear. He finished well at several recent events on the PGA Tour. Hovland’s ability to stay consistent across four rounds makes him a reliable pick. His performance at previous majors has put him on the radar of many fans and analysts. If he continues to drive the ball accurately and putt well, he could contend for the title. Hovland’s odds in betting markets reflect his steady play and experience. Even if he’s not the top favorite, he has the skills to challenge for a US Open win. Apr 10, 2025; Augusta, Georgia, USA; Cameron Smith plays his shot from the fifth tee during the first round of the Masters Tournament. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Terada-Imagn Images 8) Cameron Smith Cameron Smith comes into the 2025 US Open with a history of success in major championships. He won The Open in 2022 and has been a steady performer in big tournaments. His creativity around the greens and strong putting make him a dangerous player in tough conditions. While Smith has not been as prominent in headlines lately, he still competes at a high level. Odds from several sportsbooks put him in the mix of contenders at Oakmont. He is known for keeping calm under pressure, which is important for the challenges this course offers. Smith’s experience gives him an edge on challenging layouts like Oakmont. His short game can save strokes where others might struggle. If he can find consistency off the tee, he has a real chance to compete. Fans and analysts consider Smith a possible “sleeper” pick this year. His recent results may not stand out, but his proven ability in majors cannot be ignored. Patrick Cantlay hits the ball on the ninth fairway during the final round of the Memorial Tournament at Muirfield Village Golf Course on Sunday, June 1, 2025 in Dublin, Ohio. 9) Patrick Cantlay Patrick Cantlay is a steady and reliable player on the PGA Tour. He is known for his strong iron play and consistency under pressure. Many experts rate him as one of the best golfers yet to win a major championship. At the 2024 US Open, Cantlay finished tied for third place with a score of 4-under. This performance shows that he can compete at the highest level in tough conditions. His track record in major events puts him among the top contenders for 2025. Current odds for Cantlay to win the 2025 US Open are around +4000, which places him among the notable favorites. He has the talent and experience to make a strong run at the title. Cantlay’s calm approach and solid game are keys to his chances at Oakmont. Mar 9, 2025; Orlando, Florida, USA; Colin Morikawa lines up a putt on the tenth green during the final round of the Arnold Palmer Invitational golf tournament at Bay Hill. Mandatory Credit: Reinhold Matay-Imagn Images 0) Collin Morikawa Collin Morikawa has proven himself on the big stage with two major championships already. Morikawa is known for his accuracy off the tee and his steady iron play, both valuable attributes at Oakmont. In recent years, Morikawa has been a regular in the top 15 at the US Open. His consistent performances in majors show that he can handle the pressure. Many experts have noticed his ability to stay calm even in tough situations. His odds to win are listed at around +2500, placing him among the top favorites. Morikawa’s skill on difficult courses could be an advantage at the challenging Oakmont setup.

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